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NovaKBM Sr Pref Issue: IPT Is MS+235bp, We See FV +215bp Area

FINANCIALS

Nova KBM (NOVAKR), OTP’s Solvenian bank, is issuing senior preferred today – we see fair value around MS+215bp.


  • OTP (OTP HB Equity) owns Nova KBM so we use its senior preferred curve as our main pricing comparator, at least in part due to the lack of anything more directly relatable at this rating.
  • NOVAKR only has one meaningful senior preferred outstanding, which trades c.20bp wide of OTP’s curve, which is logical with one rating notch difference. As the curve terms out, we feel that premium would close a little so we can see this pricing as tight as MS+215bp area.
  • There is an OTP bond (OTPHB 6.125) at a slightly shorter maturity and this FV puts the difference at 23bp, which seems fair for the ratings differential alongside the small maturity mismatch, in our view.

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