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*** NZD continued to come under pressure on....>

KIWI
KIWI: *** NZD continued to come under pressure on Tuesday, with a better than
exp. WMP auction result & an upgrade to Fonterra's milk price forecast doing
little to support the kiwi after the NZDUSD's 200-DMA gave way on Tuesday.
- NZDUSD last trades at 0.7175, with initial focus on the 55-WMA at 0.7137 and
then the 100-WMA at 0.7122. To the upside, initial resistance through the figure
lies at 0.7205, while the the 55-DMA currently sits at 0.7279.
- As a reminder the RBNZ will convene on Thursday, no change is expected, with
more focus on the upcoming release of the Bank's new PTA (expected within the
next couple of weeks).
- This will be Spencer's final meeting as interim RBNZ Gov. so analysts do not
expect any fireworks. Markets currently price a ~30% chance of a hike by the end
of the Nov meeting, while the 'big 4' banks do not expect a hike until some
point in 2019. The NZ-US 10-Year yield differential has recently crept in to
negative territory, owing to the RBNZ's steady stance.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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