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NZD/USD deals at $0.6355, a touch higher on....>

KIWI
KIWI: NZD/USD deals at $0.6355, a touch higher on the day. NZ markets are closed
for a public holiday today. NZD outperforms its G10 peers, just; Saturday's
statement from Chinese MOFCOM that the text of the "phase one" trade deal with
China is "basically completed" may be lending some support.
- On Friday, the pair failed to benefit from the broader risk-on mood and lost
altitude, showing below the former neckline at $0.6357 in the process, amid
reports of leveraged stops being triggered below $0.6371. A fairly strong USD
capped recovery attempts, keeping the downside momentum intact. Having closed in
the red, the pair snapped its four-week winning steak.
- Friday's dip was checked by the 38.2% retracement of the Oct rally at $0.6347.
A fall below there/50-DMA at $0.6342 would clear the way to the mid-point of the
aforementioned rally at $0.6320. Bulls look for a pick-up in topside momentum,
which would result in a return above $0.6357 and then onto the $0.6400 handle.
- Looking ahead, building permits and ANZ biz. confidence come out on Thursday,
while ANZ consumer confidence hits on Friday.

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