May 28, 2024 21:56 GMT
NZD/USD Finishes Lower on Strong US Data, Business Confidence Up Next
NZD
The Kiwi finished Monday's session down 0.13% at 0.6141, while the BBDXY finished a up 0.10% at 1,249.11. The currency trading higher heading into the US session before stronger-than-expected US consumer confidence provided the greenback with a temporary boost on Tuesday before receiving a second wind from higher US Treasury yields after tails at two- and five-year auctions.
- NZD/USD reached new monthly highs of 0.6170 on Tuesday, the move was on the back of China announcing new stimulus measures to boost demand for property.
- The move higher was short lived, as strong Consumer Confidence caused a rally in the USD, the pair fell 20-pips initially before closing the session at 0.6141. The 14-day RSI has ticked higher and now sits at 65, while the MACD holds steady.
- Key levels to watch: Initial resistance of 0.6170 (May 28th highs) above here we target the 0.6200/20 (round number/ March 8 high), while initial support holds at 0.6083 (May 22nd lows), a break here would target 0.6078 (20-day EMA)
- Fonterra Maintains 23/24 Milk Price forecast at NZ$7.8/KG.
- The US-NZ 2y is 3bps lower at -24.5bps
- Option expiries: 0.6115 ($196.24m) & 0.6050 ($200m) May 28th NY cut, while notable upcoming strikes are, 0.6195 ($150.12m) May 30, 0.5865 ($390m) May 30.
- Looking ahead: NZ ANZ Business Confidence & Activity Outlook
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