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MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Consolidation Ahead Nov Jobs Report
NZD/USD fluctuated within a tight range........>
KIWI: NZD/USD fluctuated within a tight range overnight, except for a brief
knee-jerk lower. The rate last sits at $0.6470, virtually unchanged on the day.
- Modest NZD/USD sell-off was evident early on amid caution re: Sino-U.S. trade
relations provoked by Friday's round of U.S. Pres Trump's combative comments.
- The pair sank to its session low of $0.6440 as BBG ran a headline stating
"RBNZ could cut OCR to minus 0.35% in a crisis, Treasury says." However, the
move was promptly retraced as the headline proved somewhat misleading.
- Per the BBG piece, NZ Tsy's paper claims that -0.35% is the lowest possible
level of the OCR, whereby market rates paid by households and businesses would
remain positive. The paper also called asset purchases a "less favourable tool,"
while NZ Tsy stressed that the paper is "not gov't policy or Tsy advice" and
preparing it doesn't imply that the risk of economic downturn has increased.
- A stronger than exp. PBoC fix allowed NZD/USD to extend recovery thereafter.
- Bulls look to the 23.6% fibo retracement of the Jul-Aug slide at $0.6475,
bears target the lower 1.0% 10-DMA envelope at $0.6453.
- NZ FPI/REINZ house sales are due tomorrow, BusinessNZ m'fing PMI hits on Fri.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.