April 28, 2024 21:54 GMT
NZD/USD Opens Slightly Higher, 2Y Yields Hits 5%, Filled Jobs Up Next
NZD
The Kiwi edged lower on Friday, although was still one of the top performing G10 currencies. The NZD finished down 0.13% for the day, but up 0.88% for the week verses the USD. NZGBs yields pushed higher with the 2y trading above 5% late Friday, while the currency also benefitted from risk on tone last week with major US equity Indices up 2-3% last week. The BBDXY closed 0.26% higher on Friday at 1,263.43.
- The NZD/USD has opened slightly higher to start the week, up 0.10% at 59.47. The pair remains in a downtrend as it continues to trade below the 20, 50, 100 & 200-day EMA's, although we are testing the 20-day EMA, the 14-day RSI has ticked up again now at 45, while the MACD is showing diminishing red bars, signally a protentional turnaround.
- Key levels to watch: Initial support is 0.5900 (round number support) a move below here would open a retest of 0.5852 (Apr 19 lows). Initial resistance is 0.5957 (20-day EMA), above here the 0.5070 (Apr 26 highs/ last week high)
- The US-NZ 2y is down 4bp to -20.75bps
- Option expiries: 0.5840 (NZD332.2m), 0.6010 (NZD260.07m), while notable upcoming strikes are 0.5940 (NZD959.7m May 1), 0.5855 (NZD713m May 1), 0.5950 (NZD645.6m May 1)
- Looking ahead: Filled Jobs at 8.45am AEST and Tomorrow ANZ Business Confidence & Activity Outlook
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