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NZD/USD Pares Losses, Unable to Break Tuesday Lows

NZD
  • NZD/USD sold off earlier as risk assets moved lower, briefly touching a low of 0.6069. Equity markets have since bounced off the low and are pushing higher, with the HSTech Index now up 2.35%. NZD/USD has reversed the earlier move to trade unchanged for the day at 0.6087.
  • Key levels to watch: Initial support at 0.6071 (Mar 5th lows), below here 0.6064 (Jan 23 lows). A break of those levels opens up a retest of the yearly lows at 0.6038. To the upside, initial resistance at 0.6112 (March 4th highs). A break above opens a move to the 0.6125/35 area (20 & 50-Day EMAs).
  • Earlier, Chief Economist for the RBNZ, Conway, noted that policy is likely to need to stay restrictive for some time and that household inflation expectations remain a watchpoint. He noted the RBNZ may be able to start easing sooner, but this would likely be contingent on the Fed easing in the second half of this year.
  • Looking ahead: Little on the calendar for the remainder of the week other than Manufacturing Activity Volume and NZ to Sell 3yr, 7yr & 20yr Bonds on Thursday.

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