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NZD/USD sits at $0.6590, 8 pips lower on the...>

KIWI
KIWI: NZD/USD sits at $0.6590, 8 pips lower on the day. Westpac revised their
RBNZ call and pushed their exp. of a 25bp OCR reduction to Aug 2020 from Feb.
Meanwhile, the latest quarterly survey of economists compiled by NZIER showed a
lower GDP growth outlook through 2021. In the local data, services PMI showed
deceleration in the sector, printing at 53.3 vs. the prev. 55.3.
- The rate finished almost unch. Friday. It received a boost early on thanks to
a risk-on reaction to UK election results. However, these gains were shed later
in the day as lack of clarity in the details of U.S.-China phase-one trade pact,
to be signed in early January, left participants disappointed.
- Following the charting of a Doji candlestick on Friday, bears look for a drop
below the 200-DMA at $0.6535, which would fuel their hopes for a broader
reversal. Bulls need a push above Friday's peak at $0.6636 to reinstate the
topside momentum.
- NZ calendar this week is headlined by local Q3 GDP, due Thurs alongside trade
balance. ANZ biz. conf. hits on Tues, BoP current a/c data comes out Weds, while
ANZ cons. conf. survey is due Fri. There is a GDT auction coming up on Tues.

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