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NZD/USD trades at $0.6346, virtually...........>

KIWI
KIWI: NZD/USD trades at $0.6346, virtually unchanged on the day.
- Westpac Consumer Confidence Index fell to 103.1 from 103.4 in Q3, with the
accompanying commentary noting that "that the RBNZ's double-cut [likely] scared
people more than it helped," while another 25bps cut is exp. in November.
- Monday's Asia-Pac session saw the rate trade sideways, as a risk-off mood &
better commodity prices, stemming from developments in the oil mkt, worked in
opposite directions. Selling pressure emerged into Europe as USD picked up a
bid, underpinned by softening EUR & GBP, as well as persistent risk aversion.
- From the technical perspective, the $0.6342/41 region, which limited losses on
Aug 26 & yesterday, continues to provide the initial layer of support. Below
would open $0.6326, which marks the lows of Aug 28 & Sep 4. Failure to take out
these levels would encourage bulls to target $0.6392, the 23.6% retracement of
the Jul-Aug fall where the rate topped out yesterday.
- Investors will be on the lookout for the results of the latest GDT auction,
due in the London afternoon. Wednesday's release of Q2 BoP C/a balance will
precede the publication of Q2 GDP on Thursday.

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