FED'S BARKIN: LOOKING FOR MORE EVIDENCE OF INFLATION'S DECLINE

BARKIN: FED SHOULD ACT DELIBERATELY, KEEP CLOSE EYE ON ECONOMY

MNI BRIEF: China Equip't Renewal Policy Includes Foreign Firms

MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, July 17

MNI China Press Digest July 17:  Investment, LPR, H2 Priority

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY268 Bln Via OMO Wed; Rates Unchanged

US Treasury Auction Calendar

Broad-based Softening In June Underlying Inflation Metrics

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Spain, France Auction on Thursday

RPT-MNI: Canada Sticks To Fiscal Anchors, Spends Chunk Of Windfall

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

NZGBS: Richer, Closed Near Best Levels, NZ-AU 10Y Spread Narrows

BONDS
Homepagemarkets-real-timeBulletMarketsFixed Income Bullets

NZGBs closed just off session bests with benchmarks 2-5bps richer and the 2/10 curve flatter.

  • A better-than-expected Current Balance likely helped at the margin, but the outperformance relative to its antipodean counterpart appeared more driven by a post-RBA cheapening in ACGBs. The NZ-AU 10-year yield differential is 7bps tighter on the day.
  • The RBA Governor’s press conference remark that a rate cut was not considered, but a hike was, caught the market by surprise. This seems inconsistent with the previous statement that the RBA was "not ruling anything in or out."
  • The RBNZ's Conway expects inflation to continue to slow but said it needs more time to be certain. “These processes could occur more quickly or slowly than currently projected,” he said. “Overall, a period of restrictive policy is necessary to give us confidence that inflation will return to target over a reasonable timeframe.” (See BBG link)
  • Swap rates closed 4-5bps lower.
  • RBNZ dated OIS pricing closed 5bps softer for 2025 meetings. A cumulative 32bps of easing is priced by year-end.
  • Tomorrow, the local calendar will see Q1 GDP.
  • Tomorrow, the NZ Treasury plans to sell NZ$250mn of the 1.5% May-31 bond, NZ$200mn of the 4.25% May-34 bond and NZ$50mn of the 5.0% May-54 bond.
203 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

NZGBs closed just off session bests with benchmarks 2-5bps richer and the 2/10 curve flatter.

  • A better-than-expected Current Balance likely helped at the margin, but the outperformance relative to its antipodean counterpart appeared more driven by a post-RBA cheapening in ACGBs. The NZ-AU 10-year yield differential is 7bps tighter on the day.
  • The RBA Governor’s press conference remark that a rate cut was not considered, but a hike was, caught the market by surprise. This seems inconsistent with the previous statement that the RBA was "not ruling anything in or out."
  • The RBNZ's Conway expects inflation to continue to slow but said it needs more time to be certain. “These processes could occur more quickly or slowly than currently projected,” he said. “Overall, a period of restrictive policy is necessary to give us confidence that inflation will return to target over a reasonable timeframe.” (See BBG link)
  • Swap rates closed 4-5bps lower.
  • RBNZ dated OIS pricing closed 5bps softer for 2025 meetings. A cumulative 32bps of easing is priced by year-end.
  • Tomorrow, the local calendar will see Q1 GDP.
  • Tomorrow, the NZ Treasury plans to sell NZ$250mn of the 1.5% May-31 bond, NZ$200mn of the 4.25% May-34 bond and NZ$50mn of the 5.0% May-54 bond.