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Odds For A 30bps Hike Tomorrow Are High

HUNGARY
  • With the HUF down 5.6% against USD this week, chances of a rate hike tomorrow are high.
  • NBH is likely to hike its 1W depo rate by 30bps to 4.9% (market consensus still expecting no change).
  • Virag mentioned yesterday that ‘rate hikes’ remain the ‘most important tool’ to defend the forint.
  • Hiking rate could ease the selling pressure on HUF, which reached an all-time-low at 383.60 against the Euro.
  • HUF has been the weakest performing currency (ex-RUB) among the EM world since the start of the week.

Source: Bloomberg

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