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OFZs Find Firmer Footing, But Inflationary Pressures Remain Prevalent in November

RUSSIA
  • Local & USD rates trade little changed around the open, having rallied firmly in yesterday's session.
  • OFZs outperformed with the curve shifting -6-13bp lower with a bull flattening bias led by 7-15Y yields.
  • OFZ 10Y yields fell just short of March 2020 highs & the 8.50 handle, but will need to break below 8.00 to target the next major level at 7.64-7.50.
  • Markets are tentatively expecting inflation pressures to ease into 1Q22 on more favourable base effects in December, but weekly CPI prints in November have still reflected a strongly proinflationary bias so far.
  • Rate hike expectations have stabilized around +120-125bp on a 3-6m horizon.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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