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Oil and Gas Sector Continued Growing in Q4 2022: Dallas Fed Survey

ENERGY

Activity in the oil and gas sector continued growing in Q4 2022 according to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey released yesterday. The business activity index remained positive but fell to 30.3 in 4Q from 46.0 in 3Q.

  • Oil and natural gas production increased at a slightly slower pace compared with the prior quarter, according to executives at exploration and production firms. The oil production index declined to 25.8 in Q4 from 31.7 in Q3. The natural gas production index moved down, to 29.4 from 35.6.
  • Firms reported rising costs for an eighth consecutive quarter, with the indexes remaining elevated. However, the rate of those increases has slowed. Among oilfield services firms, the input cost index was 61.8 versus 83.9 last quarter.
  • On average, respondents expect a WTI price of 84$/bbl by year-end 2023; responses ranged from $65 to $160 per barrel. Survey participants expect Henry Hub natural gas prices of 5.64$/mmtu at year-end.

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