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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
OIL
Brent time spreads are following the bearish move in crude futures with the prompt spread falling to the lowest since early January despite the prospect of extended OPEC+ production cuts into H2 as widely expected by the market.
- The market weakness was triggered by the pricing out of geopolitical risk premium in late April while market focus has switched to a more pessimistic demand outlook driven by concerns of stickier US inflation and thus delays to Fed rate cuts.
- IEA last week revised world fuel consumption down by 140kbpd to growth of 1.1mb/d in 2024. OPEC are maintaining a demand growth forecast for 2024 at 2.2mb/d.
- The prompt Brent spread is down to just $0.13/bbl compared to over $1.00/bbl in April. The Dec24-Dec25 spread is approaching the May 15 low of $3.94/bbl.
- Brent Jul24 technicals show the first support at the May 15 low of $81.05/bbl and WTI Jul 24 at $76.36/bbl.
- Brent JUL 24 down 1.5% at 82.49$/bbl
- WTI JUL 24 down 1.5% at 78.09$/bbl
- Brent JUL 24-AUG 24 down 0.12$/bbl at 0.13$/bbl
- Brent DEC 24-DEC 25 down 0.37$/bbl at 3.97$/bbl
- WTI JUL 24-AUG 24 down 0.09$/bbl at 0.31$/bbl
- WTI JUN 24-DEC 24 down 0.19$/bbl at 2.93$/bbl
Source: Bloomberg
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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