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Oil Dragging Down Broader Indices

CROSS ASSET

Equities are weaker over the past hour - no particular headlines driving the move lower, nor is there much cross-asset corroboration for the move (in USD or Bonds).

  • However, the drop does appear to be tracking lower oil prices, which leaves Energy stocks as the biggest sectoral underperformers this morning. Chart below shows intraday S&P futs / Brent crude / Shell share price (the biggest single drag on Euro energy stocks this morning).
  • On oil, our commodities team notes no particular reason underpinning the move today. But Brent front month (off $1.35 today at $91.91) has been bouncing between 91 and 94 for a few days now, with markets weighing the balance between economic slowdown and China demand vs Russia and OPEC supply risk.
  • Having retraced from resistance at the 3820/3822 bull trigger level, next support for S&P eminis is seen at 3641.50 (Oct 21 low), per our tech analyst.



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