December 20, 2024 16:38 GMT
OIL: Oil Europe End of Day: Demand Concerns Remain Key Theme
OIL
Demand worries remain a key theme for oil markets as they fell on Friday, under pressure this week from mixed economic data out of China at the start of the week.
- Brent FEB 25 down -0.2% at 72.71$/bbl
- WTI FEB 25 down -0.2% at 69.25$/bbl
- Dollar strength has also weighed on oil this week as the Fed cut its outlook for next year, though the dollar has since fallen away from its Thursday peak.
- Oil markets remain in a prolonged consolidation phase that looks set to remain until the end of the year barring any surprises. A U.S. stock draw on Wednesday offered short term support.
- JP Morgan said this week it expects the oil market to move into a 1.2mn bpd surplus next year citing China weakness and non-OPEC supply strength.
- President-elect Trump posted on Truth Social Friday the European Union “must make up their tremendous deficit with the United States by the large-scale purchase of out oil and gas.” If not, he will impose tariffs.
- G7 countries are considering ways to tighten the price cap on Russian oil, such as with an outright ban or by lowering the price threshold based on a number of reports this week.
- Oil supplies via Russia's Druzhba pipeline have been suspended since Dec. 19 but are expected to return in the coming days.
- Crude curve backwardation remains strong suggesting supplies remain tight after the OPEC+ delay and with supply risks due to increased sanctions on Russia and Iran.
- U.S. gasoline cracks have staged a recovery on Friday but remain weak while diesel markets have been largely trading sideways.
258 words