Free Trial

Oil Markets Claw Back Gains After OPEC+, CPI Data In Focus Today

RUSSIA
  • Local rates open firmer on the back of more supportive EM FI risk sentiment with front end yields dipping 2bp.
  • USD yields, however, trade mixed across the curve after yesterday's Easter break.
  • USD/RUB trading flat to higher at the open as an early bid in the greenback overshadows a slight pullback in oil markets.
  • Brent slipped 4% in yesterday's session as OPEC+ agreed to ease output cuts from May-July squashing expectations for another rollover.
  • Oil markets will dial in on US-Iran nuclear deal talks this week for signs of reduced sanctions.
  • Local focus today on CPI data due 1600GMT expected to show signs of moderation m/m with the cyclical peak coming in March. Further upside surprises past 5.8% could spur fears of more aggressive CBR tightening in the coming meeting as Nabiullina moves to decisively anchor price pressures and expectations lower.
  • 76.50 has proven sticky in recent weeks, but may come under pressure if USD strength, Oil market weakness and sanctions uncertainty continue to weigh on RUB.
  • USD/RUB is currently stuck in a broad consolidation range between 76. 6579– 75.7372, awaiting a breakout to confirm a more decisive near-term direction.
  • Intraday Sup1: 76.0210, Sup2: 75.7473, Res1: 76.4367, Res2: 76.6579
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.