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Oil Prices Rise As US Inventories Fall For Fourth Straight Week

OIL

Oil prices rose moderately on Wednesday after selling off the previous four days. The fourth consecutive weekly US inventory drawdown provided crude with some support in a deteriorating risk environment. The USD index closed little changed but had been weaker earlier in the session providing some support.

  • WTI is up 0.7% to $77.50/bbl and has started today slightly higher at $77.53. It fell to a low of $76.98 before rebounding to $78.19. The benchmark is now down 3.9% in July. Initial support is at $76.52 and resistance at $83.58.
  • Brent rose 0.6% to $81.50/bbl off the intraday high of $82.23 but is still down 4.1% this month. The trend condition remains bullish but the cycle is currently corrective. Initial support is at $80.51 with resistance at $87.95.
  • The EIA reported a 3.74mn barrel US inventory drawdown for last week, the fourth consecutive decline amounting to a total of 24.21mn barrels. The level is now its lowest since the start of February. Refining utilisation fell 2.1pp to 91.6% while gasoline stocks fell 5.57mn and distillate 2.75mn.
  • Russia has been overproducing and has said that it will reduce output in October and November and then again from March to September next year. OPEC+ compliance with revised quotas has been inconsistent.
US EIA crude stocks ex SPR

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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