Oil Products Summary at European Close: Diesel Trends Lower

Diesel cracks are drifting lower on the day as the market assesses the partial lifting of the Russian fuel exports.

• US gasoline crack down -1.1$/bbl at 8.14$/bbl
• US ULSD crack down -0.7$/bbl at 38.66$/bbl
• Russia has imposed a diesel export quota on fuel producers. This month, exports are not allowed to exceed the average of the past 8-months.
• Russia’s Transneft resumed loading of oil products on Saturday. Around 26k mt of diesel left the Port of Novorossiysk, while 43k mt was exported from Primorsk.
• The Russian ban on gasoline exports remains in place, while diesel exports by rail are also banned according to Russia’s Deputy PM Novak on Monday.
• The Russian energy ministry said the share of ‘gray’ oil product exports was a small percentage but enough to disrupt the market.
• Russian refineries cut processing rates in early October to lowest in 19-weeks.
• Russia intends to increase fuel production to 131mn tons in 2023 – up from 127mn tons in 2022 according to a federal budget draft.
• PETROBRAS SEES VOLATILITY AT DIESEL PRICES AFTER ISRAEL ATTACK -bbg
• Exports of refined products from China in September are estimated to have been 4.01m mt, up 28% compared to August, according to OilChem’s tracking of ship schedules.
• Shell’s 310kbpd Miro refinery in southwest Germany has started planned maintenance on 7 October according to a statement, cited by Bloomberg. Bloomberg previously reported the maintenance was already underway and scheduled to end on 31 October.
• Nigeria will become a net exporter of petroleum products by the end of 2024, according to NNPC’s Group Managing Director Mele Kyari.
• Global airline capacity has fallen to 110.5m in the week commencing Oct. 9, according to OAG, down 1.1% on the previous week.