Free Trial

OIS Terminal Pricing Above That Seen Around Sep RBA, Still Off June Peaks

STIR

Market pricing surrounding the RBA terminal rate has shifted higher again in recent weeks’ although the June peak of ~4.50% has not been breached. While domestic economic resilience and RBA worry re: inflation is part of the story, the shift higher in terminal rate pricing surrounding the U.S. Federal Reserve, coupled with the universal support for the “higher for longer” thought process within the Fed, as well as the recent BoE terminal rate repricing, primarily driven by UK fiscal matters, have played just as much, if not more, of a part. This adds credence to our assumption that the RBA will not be willing to step down the pace of tightening at its October meeting.


Fig.1: The Recent Evolution Of RBA Dated OIS Pricing

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.