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On react to the Australian Q3 CPI release....>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: On react to the Australian Q3 CPI release Barclays note that despite the
downside surprise, "we maintain our 2017 CPI forecast at 2.0%, to account for
slightly higher second-order effects from the utility tariff hikes, with 2018
CPI inflation forecast at 2.2%." Barclays add while headline CPI has eased,
underlying inflation has also moderated, which may somewhat temper rate hike
expectations in the near term from the RBA. In terms of monetary policy, "we
expect the RBA to remain patient and wait for signs of a more broad-based
recovery across businesses and household incomes before firmly signalling any
change in policy stance." "We expect the RBA to stay on hold until H2 18 and
raise the policy rate by 25bp at the August 2018 MPC meeting followed by a 25bp
rate hike in November."

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