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On Tuesday, Italy sells.......>

ITALY AUCTION PREVIEW
ITALY AUCTION PREVIEW: On Tuesday, Italy sells E2.0-2.5bln of BTP 0.2% Oct-20,
E2.5-3.0bln of BTP 1.45% Nov-24 and E1.75-E2.25bln of 3.45% Mat-48.
- BACKGROUND: Italy is coming to the market at a time of increasing volatility
in the credit markets and slow gradual rise in domestic political risks ahead of
elections in March.
- RV/HISTORY: The 2020 area of Italy has come under pressure in the last week
and the yield on the BTP 0.2% Oct-20 has risen back up to 5.5bps today. The pull
back in the BTP 2.05% Nov-24 has been a little bit bigger, and currently trades
at 1.427% up from last weeks low of 1.32% and looks cheap vs Spain with pick-up
above 60bps. As for the 30-yr BTP yield spread vs Spain also looks cheap having
cheapened by 35bps and close to 6-month wides. The 0.2% Oct-20 and 2.05% Nov-24
where both tapped on Jan 11 for E3bln each at avg yield 0.04% and cover of
1.54x, and at avg yield 1.35% and cover of 1.4x respectively. The last 30-yr BTP
auction was back in October 2017.
- TIMING: Auction cut-off is 1000GMT, results are around 1015GMT.

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