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On Wednesday BNP Paribas added "a six-month...>

FOREX
FOREX: On Wednesday BNP Paribas added "a six-month USDJPY lower, AUDUSD higher
dual digital structure to our portfolio of recommendations, with strikes at 106
and 0.80 for a cost of 11.90% (spot refs: 0.7671, 109.95). The trade is designed
to benefit from a transition back to a market environment characterized by broad
USD weakness and away from a risk-on/risk-off dominated market."
- BNP's "view is that AUD can outperform the USD in a stable or even slightly
detonating risk environment as the USD's structural vulnerabilities broadly
weigh on the currency. The market also remains lightly priced for RBA rate
hikes, and upside surprises in local data could see a reassessment of the policy
outlook, to the benefit of the AUD."
- BNP noted that "Japanese investors remain under hedged vs. USD depreciation
risk, and a resumption of broad USD weakness could see another period similar to
that seen in January, when USDJPY sold-off despite an improving risk backdrop.
We also would not rule out periodic gains in the JPY as markets contemplate risk
of a change in BOJ monetary policy next year, though we expect these periods to
be short-lived, with the BOJ ultimately remaining on hold."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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