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Free AccessOnce the market settled down........>
US TSYS SUMMARY: Once the market settled down after Friday's employment report
the 10Y T-note tracked along inside a tight range between 126-00+ and 126-04+
until there was a sudden lurch lower in the early European session.
- In Asia, the JPY virtually flat-lined and the oil price was also nearly
immovable.
- The only fireworks on Monday originated in a strange place i.e. the Swissie.
Swiss sight deposits data prompted a weakening in the Swissie against the euro
and then the strength of the euro was accelerated as stop-losses were triggered
in a number of currency pairs. Eventually, these FX-related movements led to a
decline in the TY contract to 125-30 before some buying arrived.
- Along the curve, the 5Y area of the US is weakest on Monday, with a 1.7bp rise
in yield but the top end of the curve is flattening, the 30Y yield is only 0.4bp
higher today.
- Technically, for the UST 10Y yield, Friday's rally provided bulls breathing
room but a close above the 200 day DMA is needed to confirm a return in focus to
2.237%-2.396% where a daily bear channel top (2.343%) is noted.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.