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Opposition Risks Squandering Chance of Beating Erdoğan if Kilicdarogu Leads

TURKEY
  • Erdoğan has enjoyed a minor bounce in the polls since February as he sought to play international mediator to end the war in Ukraine, helping to buttress his image as an important global player after months of decling support amid severe economic woes
  • “If you asked me last year, I would have said: it’s in the bag. Erdoğan is going to lose,” said one opposition official, according to the FT. “Now I’m much less sure.”
  • Some people in the opposition fear Erdoğan would eat Kılıçdaroğlu alive should the latter insist on nominating himself to run over Ankara and Istanbul Mayors Yavas & Imamoğlu - who have seen higher approval ratings in recent months (above Erdogan)
  • CHP official says “I have no doubt that he [Kilicdaroglu] would make the best president of all of the possible candidates. But he has the lowest chance of winning,”
  • The final decision on who runs for the opposition will come down to behind-the-scenes negotiations between opposition party leaders. Meral Akşener, the head of the right-wing Good Party (IP), will play a key role.
  • She has ruled herself out of the race, saying she would prefer to be the prime minister in a future government after the presidential system in Turkey, introduced in 2018, is abolished in line with opposition plans.
  • There are signs that Aksener favours Ekrem Imamoğlu, the mayor of Istanbul, but the race remains closely contended at this stage.
  • https://ahval.io/turkey-politics/turkish-oppositio...
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
Political Risk BulletEM BulletHomepageBulletPolitical RiskEmerging Market News
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
Political Risk BulletEM BulletHomepageBulletPolitical RiskEmerging Market News

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