October 15, 2024 08:46 GMT
OPTIONS: Hedging Turnover Picks Up After Monday's Partial Close
OPTIONS
- With US markets only partially open Monday, options turnover was considerably below average yesterday, clocking the lowest total notional since Sept 16th - however markets are busier so far Tuesday thanks to decent interest in EUR, SGD, HKD and CHF hedges.
- Upside USD/HKD hedges have traded in size, with over $2 in USD/HKD calls trading for every $1 in puts so far Tuesday. 7.75 and 7.85 strikes have seen the most interest, potentially positioned to gain from onshore HKD weakness, or a near-term uptick in implied vols.
- One-month USD vols remain well elevated as the contracts capture the early November US elections, with EUR/USD vols looking comfortable either side of 7.5 points, although USD/JPY vols have faded off last week's 14 points. Meanwhile the front-end of the EUR vol curve has seen scant interest despite the looming ECB decision, suggesting that a well-telegraphed 25bps cut this week would prompt little market volatility.
- More sizeable expiries set to roll off at today's cut include €1.1bln in EUR/USD at $1.0850-75, $1.4bln in USD/JPY at Y149.70-90, A$1.2bln in AUD/USD at $0.6675 & A$3.5bln at $0.6775-00.
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