October 07, 2024 12:05 GMT
OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Bear Cycle Extension In Gilts
OUTLOOK
- In the FI space, Bund futures traded sharply lower Friday. The reversal has resulted in a move through both the 20- and 50-day EMAs and undermines a recent bullish outlook. Price is lower again, today and a continuation would further strengthen a developing bearish threat. This would open 132.65, the Sep 2 low. Initial resistance is at 134.59, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of this average is required to signal a possible reversal.
- A bear threat in Gilt futures remains present and Friday’s impulsive sell-off reinforces this theme. The contract has traded through support at 98.11, the Sep 2 low and a bear trigger. The break strengthens the downtrend, signalling scope for a deeper retracement towards 96.23, a 1.00 projection of the Sep 17 - 30 - Oct 1 price swing. Initial firm resistance is at 98.11, the Sep 2 low.
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