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OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Bullish Bund Outlook

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures have recovered from Monday’s low and from levels just below support at the 50-day EMA, at 132.99. Recent short-term weakness appears to have been a correction and this has allowed an overbought condition to unwind. First resistance is 134.50, the Aug 22 high, where a break would strengthen a near-term bullish condition. On the downside, a clear break of the 50-day EMA would highlight scope for a deeper retracement.
  • Gilt futures have recovered this week. The move off Monday’s low signals the end of the recent corrective cycle. The trend outlook is bullish and this is reinforced by a bullish moving average set-up on the continuation chart. An extension higher would signal scope for a climb towards the next firm resistance at 99.85, the Aug 22 high. On the downside, clearance of support at 98.11, Sep 2 low, would reinstate the recent bearish theme. First support lies at 99.02, the Sep 4 low.

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