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Over 160bps of Rate Cuts Priced Through 2024

STIR

ECB-dated OIS contracts price a new dovish extreme of 163bps of cuts through the December 2024 meeting, as the dovish Fed feedthrough remains evident.

  • A 25bps cut through the March 2024 meeting is almost fully priced, with 23bps of cuts priced at typing. There are now 52bps priced through the April 2024 meeting.
  • The Euribor strip firms, sitting +1.0 ticks to +23.0 ticks, with Whites/Reds leaning.
  • Focus will be on whether the ECB pushes back on current rate cut pricing later today (decision released at 1315GMT, press conference at 1345GMT). Our full preview of the event can be found here.

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