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Free AccessParing Recent Gains As Growth Worry Remains Elevated
WTI and Brent are ~$0.80 softer apiece, paring a little of their respective gains made on Friday as worry re: Fed hawkishness impacting economic growth (and the outlook for energy demand) has ticked higher, with equities across the Asia-Pac region struggling as well.
- To recap, both benchmarks closed ~$4 firmer apiece on Friday, hitting multi-week highs on tailwinds from continued tightness in U.S. crude and gasoline inventories, as well as OPEC+ decision to cut crude output targets by 2mn bpd on Wednesday.
- On the latter topic, WTI and Brent notched ~17% and ~11% higher weekly closes respectively, largely shrugging off the above-expectations NFPs print on Friday at the time.
- Looking ahead, participants continue to await a U.S. response to the OPEC+ decision, although some observers have stated that U.S. efforts may centre around the “NOPEC” bill for now amidst a lack of suitable, effective alternatives.
- Further out, some are watching for signs of a Q4 easing in China’s COVID-zero policy, with the country heading for the twice-a-decade party Congress on Oct 16.
- Brent’s prompt spread now sits at ~$1.97, a little shy of 13-week highs recorded last Friday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.