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Participation Rates Improve But Still Rangebound

US DATA
  • Fresh recent history lows in both unemployment (3.47%) and U-6 underemployment (6.5%) were noteworthy against the slightly larger than expected rise in participation (from 62.1 to 62.3, cons 62.2%).
  • The latter rise was seen across the board in both prime and various non-prime age groups. However, both total and prime participation rates remain off post-pandemic highs seen in the summer, notably so in the case of prime age (see chart), likely require further improvements to more seriously allay concerns of labor not returning to the workforce including early retirees.
  • Further into the details, the underemployment rate touching new recent lows came despite a more material bounce in those working part-time for economic reasons from twenty-year lows, likely offset by a less optimistic drop in those marginally attached.

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