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Peso Loses Shine After Sharp Rally

PHP

Spot USD/PHP extended its sharp sell-off Tuesday, moving past the 23.6% retracement of the Jun 1 - Jul 19 rally at PHP49.816, in a confirmation that bears are taking control after a double top pattern appeared on the daily chart. The rate last sits +0.171 at PHP49.786, with bears looking for a fall through yesterday's low of PHP49.615, towards Jul 2 low of PHP49.085. Bulls need a clearance of Jul 28/19 highs of PHP50.490/50.496 to jump back into the driving seat.


Fig. 1: USD/PHP

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


  • USD/PHP 1-month NDF last seen +0.09 at PHP49.930, with bulls looking for gains past Jul 27 high of PHP50.730. Bears see Jul 2 low of PHP49.250 as their initial target, following the formation of a head and shoulders top pattern.

Fig. 2: USD/PHP 1-Month NDF

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


  • Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas released a statement based on Gov Diokno's recent speech, noting that the central bank will maintain its accommodative policy stance for "as long as necessary" amid risks stemming from the spread of the Delta variant.
  • Presidential spokesman Roque said yesterday that the Philippines will source PHP13.1bn from gov't agencies' savings to fund economic relief measure for NCR residents, as the capital region is set to enter a two-week lockdown.
  • Looking ahead, the Philippine Statistics Authority will release July CPI data on Thursday, while trade balance will hit the wires on Friday.

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