Free Trial

Peso Rangebound Ahead Of Key US CPI Release

MEXICO
  • The Mexican peso is trading in a tight 17.05-17.10 range against the dollar, ahead of today’s key US CPI inflation release. BBVA believe that a soft US inflation print could cool dollar pressure, while the upside surprise would have to be very significant to reignite dollar demand in their view, given recent performance and some technicals. As such, they see scope for further outperformance by Latam high yielders such as MXN. Initial support for USDMXN is around the 17.00 handle, while key support and the bear trigger, lies at 16.7852, the Jan 8 low.
  • No major data releases in the docket today. Weekly international reserves data will be published at 1500GMT(1000ET) and nominal wages data for January are due for publication at some point this week (prior +9% y/y).
  • In other news, Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim said yesterday that Mexico can improve oil production without restarting competitive oil auctions because the works are already done. State-owned Pemex and private companies can drill for oil in blocks that were won under the previous administration, he said. He also said that Mexico could improve development if private sector annual investment reached 20% of GDP, government investment 5% of GDP and foreign investment 4-5% of GDP.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.