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Philippine Authorities Delay Relaxing Covid Curbs In Capital Region

PHP

Spot USD/PHP has crept higher today and last operates +0.092 at PHP50.102. A clearance of the nearby Aug 27 high of PHP50.145 would shift focus to PHP50.615, which represents the high print of Aug 19. Bears look for a retreat under Aug 31/Sep 3 lows of PHP49.660/49.659, before targeting Aug 4 low of PHP49.605.

  • USD/PHP 1-month NDF last seen -0.080 at PHP50.210. Bears keep an eye on PHP49.720, which limited losses on Aug 31/Sep 1, while bulls look for a rally above Aug 19 high of PHP50.760.
  • Although Philippine CPI accelerated sharply in August, BSP Gov Diokno said that the central bank will keep monetary policy settings accommodative as premature withdrawal of monetary stimulus would be costly. Diokno said that inflation is expected to average slightly above the +2.0%-4.0% Y/Y target range this year.
  • The authorities have postponed easing restrictions in the National Capital Region. Metro Manila will remain under Modified Enhanced Community Quarantine (MECQ) through Sep 15, but curbs may be relaxed earlier if the pilot scheme of targeted lockdowns is implemented before that date. The scheme was supposed to take effect today.
  • The economic managers will present the 2022 budget proposal to senators today, while Pres Duterte is expected to receive formal nomination for his party's 2022 vice-presidential candidate. Looking further afield, the Philippine Statistics Authority will release monthly trade data on Thursday.

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