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Philly Fed - Another Weak Regional Reading

DATA REACT
  • Another weak regional Fed reading (following Empire State earlier this week), with May's Philly Manufacturing Business index at the lowest level since May 2020, down from 17.6 prior and vs 15.0 expected.
  • Of note: new orders up, but employment and price indices down; "muted optimism for growth over the next six months" with the 6-month outlook the lowest since Dec-2008.
  • The softer growth outlook weighs on price components, with expectations of both prices paid and received 6-months ahead following Monday's Empire survey as they pull back, more so prices paid, and edge below the 12mma.
  • Having rallied aggressively into it, front end Treasuries are relatively little changed since the release, adding -1.5bps for a -7.5bps move lower in yields on the day, and with the rally extending across the curve.

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