Free Trial

PLN Continues to Appreciate in Defiance of NBP Intervention Risks

POLAND
  • EUR/PLN continues to defy expectations for NBP intervention, moving below 4.48 to test 4.4732 support.
  • The cross has dropped 1.93% from its peak on 28 Jan at 4.5609 in a substantial move that is unlikely to go unaddressed at today's NBP.
  • Although the base case is for no change to rates at 0.1%, we may hear a more aggressively dovish tone and threats of a 10bp cut, should the PLN continue on its current trajectory and fail to be contained by FX intervention.
  • The cross has erased all intervention gains since 29 Dec, but may get choppy today on the expectation of more ardent PLN jawboning.
  • Sup1: 4.4732, Sup2: 4.4648, Sup3: 4.4507, Res1: 4.4968, Res2: 4.5085
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.