September 12, 2024 09:19 GMT
PLN: Zloty Lags Behind Its CE3 Peers, Participants Assess NBP Outlook
PLN
EUR/PLN swung towards the 4.30 figure, briefly showing above that level. The rate last changes hands at 4.2963, 68 pips higher on the day. A sustained break above Aug 28 high of 4.3039 would support the bullish case, while bears look for a reversal towards Aug 16 low of 4.2614.
- Bloomberg circulated excerpts from a note by Citi, who now expect the NBP to "embark on a significant easing cycle in 2025." They wrote that "the MPC may be ready to discuss first rate cut as soon as in March 2025" and they "see room for at least 100-150bp of rate cuts, with the final scale/pace depending on the pace of easing by major central banks."
- A parliamentary committee will discuss the proposal to investigate NBP Governor Adam Glapinski during a closed-door meeting starting at 13:00BST/14:00CEST.
- POLGB curve has bear steepened at the margin, with yields last seen 0.6-3.9bp higher. The Finance Ministry yesterday sold PLN8bn of bonds at an auction, attracting demand for PLN14.9bn. It then sold a further PLN1.42bn at a top-up auction.
- The WIG20 Index has rebounded from a one-month low, adding 2.1% today. Bulls look for a recovery towards Sep 2 high of 2,467.
- The local data docket is empty today; Statistics Poland will release final August CPI readings tomorrow.
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