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PMI Services Lead With Solid Beat

US DATA
  • US PMIs increased by more than expected for both manufacturing and services in the preliminary January report, but remained in contraction territory.
  • Manufacturing increased from 46.2 to 46.8 (cons 46.0) whilst services more notably increased from 44.7 to 46.6 (cons 45.0). The outright level of the service PMI remains lower than ISM services despite the latter's sharp decline back in December.
  • On a composite basis: "The contraction in activity was solid overall, but the slowest since last October. [...] At the same time, new orders across the private sector declined for the fourth successive month in January. The fall in new business was modest overall, and eased to the slowest for three months."
  • Higher input price pressure, same rate of increase for selling prices: "Bringing to an end a seven-month sequence of moderating input price rises, January data indicated a faster increase in cost burdens at private sector firms. [...] Nevertheless, the rate of output charge inflation at private sector firms was unchanged from that seen in December 2022. January data signalled a solid uptick in selling prices, but one that was the joint-slowest since October 2020."

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