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Polish and Czech Equities Still Standing Far Below Their 2007 Highs

EMERGING MARKETS
  • In recent weeks, the global risk-on environment combined with the USD weakness have led to a strong rally in EM equities, rising above their January/March highs reached before the March 2020 panic.
  • For instance, Hungarian equities (BUX index) have been constantly reaching new all-time highs in recent days after breaking above their January 2020 high (46,476), currently trading above 48,300.
  • Czech and Polish equities have been also receiving strong support in the current environment, surging above last year's highs but still standing far below their 2007 highs:
    • WIG20 Index is currently testing its 2,280 resistance after breaking above its January high in the end of May, which corresponds to the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 1,253 - 3,940.50 range (3,940.50 was the high reached in October 2007). (first chart).
    • PX Index also broke above its January 2020 (1,144) at the end of May and is gradually approaching its next key resistance at 1,276 (50% retracement of the 607 - 1,944 range). (second chart).


Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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