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Political issues continue to cloud......>

EURO-DOLLAR
EURO-DOLLAR: Political issues continue to cloud the outlook for the Euro.
Italian elections (as soon as this year) are looking even more likely. Former
IMF-er Cottarelli's appointment as Italian PM-designate by the President needs
to survive a confidence vote, which will be tough going as M5S/League coalition
holds a majority if they vote together. If Cottarelli does not pass the
confidence motion then an election could come "after August." Cottarelli is
expected to name his cabinet ministers within the next 24-hours. Spain is also
presenting its own political issues with PM Rajoy set to face a confidence
motion on Friday.
- EURUSD last 1.1630, after printing YtD lows of 1.1608 in EU/NY hours and lows
of 1.0614 overnight. Option linked support is noted into 1.1600 Bulls still need
a close above the May 24 high (1.1750) to ease bearish pressure.
- Tuesday brings a slew of ECB speakers including Mersch, Lautenschlaeger,
Villeroy, Coeure, Visco & Nowotny. There is some EUR 2.2bln worth of 1.1650
option expiries set to roll of at the 10AM NY cut, followed by EUR 1.02bln at
1.1700.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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