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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
FRANCE
The latest opinion poll on voter expectations for the 2022 presidential election shows that much of the French electorate anticipates a repeat of the 2017 election in the second-round run off, with incumbent President Emmanuel Macron facing off against right-wing nationalist National Rally (RN) leader Marine Le Pen.
- Macron scored the highest percentage of respondents saying that he will either certainly or probably make the second round of the presidential election, with 18% of respondents certain he will make the run-off and 46% saying that he probably will, a combined total of 64%.
- Le Pen comes in second, with 16% certain she will make the second round and 45% saying they think it is likely that she will, a combined total of 61%.
Chart 1. French Presidential Election Opinion Poll: 'Do you think any of the following candidates will be in the second round of next year's presidential election?', %
Source: Ifop. Fieldwork: 29-30 June. 1,002 respondents.
- Among the three most prominent candidates for the centre-right Gaullist Les Republicains (LR) presidential nomination, president of the regional council of Hauts-de-France Xavier Bertrand is seen as the most likely to make the second round, with respondents split 50:50 over whether he will or will not make the run-off. The other two prominent possible LR nominees were seen as much less likely to make the second round, with Ile-de-France regional council president Valerie Pecresse only seen as making the second round by 30% of respondents, and former LR leader Laurent Wauquiez by 27%.
- Far-left LaFrance Insoumise (Fance Unbowed, FI) leader Jean-Luc Melenchon is viewed as extremely unlikely to make the second round, with a resounding 79% of respondents saying that he is set to be eliminated in the first round.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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