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The latest opinion polls from the Netherlands continue to show Prime Minister Mark Rutte's centre-right People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) on course to win a plurality of seats in the 17 March general election, and in doing so are almost certain to lead the next governing coalition.

  • Netherlands, Kantar poll: (Seat projection) - VVD: 40 (-2), Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA, Christian democratic): 17 (-1), Party for Freedom (PVV, right-wing): 17, Democrats 66 (D66, liberal): 15 (+1), Labour (PvdA, centre-left): 13 (+1), GreenLeft (GL, environmentalist): 12 (-1), Socialist Party (SP, left-wing): 10 (-1), Christian Union (CU, social conservative): 7 (+2), Party for the Animals (PvdD, animal rights): 6 (+1), 50Plus (50+, pensioners interests): 4 (+1), Forum for Democracy (FvD, right-wing): 3, Reformed Political Party (SGP, Christian right) 2 (-1), Denk (Muslim interests): 2 (-1), JA21 (conservative): 1, Volt (EU federalist): 1 (+1). Changes w/23-26 Jan. Fieldwork 22-24 Feb. Sample size: 1,131. Current governing parties in bold. 76 seats needed for majority.
  • Unlike a number of other EU member state leaders, Rutte's party/personal ratings have not been substantially affected by the slow rollout of COVID-19 vaccines in the bloc. This is especially surprising given that the Netherlands is the biggest laggard among all western European member states, having only vaccinated 5.04 out of every 100 citizens as of 23 Feb, compared to the E|U average of 6.44 on the same day.