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Post Data React

US TSYS
  • Fast two way as Treasury futures break upside AND downside range after Q4 advance GDP/core PCE, wekkly claims data:
    • GDP Price Index (1.5% vs. 2.2% est, 3.3% prior)
    • GDP Annualized QoQ (3.3% vs. 2.0% est, 4.9% prior)
    • Personal Consumption (2.8% vs. 2.5% est, 3.1% prior)
    • Core PCE Price Index QoQ (2.0% vs. 2.0% est, 2.0% prior)
    • Initial Jobless Claims (214k vs. 200k est, 189k prior rev)
    • Continuing Claims (1.833M vs. 1.823M est, 1.806M prior)
  • Mar'24 10Y futures currently +5 at 111-04 vs. 111-05.5 high, post-data low 110-26.5 -- just above technical support.
  • Initial technical resistance above at 111-21/112-26+ (20-day EMA / High Jan 12); support 110-26 (Low Jan 19). Curves flatter, 2s10s -1.480 at -22.055.

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