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Post-LIBOR Settle Update

US EURODLR FUTURES

Lead quarterly EDH2 holding weaker level, near overnight low after 3M LIBOR set' inched +0.00043 higher to 0.26757% (+0.00986/wk), highest since Aug 2020. Levels

  • Whites (EDH2-EDZ2) through Golds (EDH6-EDZ6) trading weaker, underscoring mkt expectations of tighter forward policy from the Fed: four .25bp quarterly hikes starting this March, another two to three in 2023.
  • Active debate over timing of balance sheet run-off, quantitative tightening sometime after conclusion of quantitative easing in March -- see MNI STATE OF PLAY: FOMC To Signal March Hikes Start, Debate QT on MNI Policy main wire at 0615ET.
  • Green Dec '24 (98.020) slightly off inversion vs. Blue pack (EDH5-EDZ5) as uncertainty over policy path eases slightly

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