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Post-PCE, Inventories React

US TSYS

Fast two-way trade as Treasury futures extend rally (TYZ3 tapped 108-10.5) then scaling back to just below opening levels (TYZ3 108-04.5, +9) after data comes out largely in-line:

  • Wholesale Inventories MoM (-0.1% vs. -0.2% est)
  • Retail Inventories MoM (1.1% vs. 0.5% est)
  • Personal Income (0.4% vs. 0.4% est)
  • Personal Spending (0.4% vs. 0.5% est, prior up-revised to 0.09%)
  • Real Personal Spending (0.1% vs. 0.0% est)
  • PCE Deflator MoM (0.4% vs. 0.5% est), YoY (3.5% vs. 3.5% est)
  • PCE Core Deflator MoM (0.1% vs. 0.2% est), YoY (3.9% vs. 3.9% est)

Technical support holds below at 107-05+, 1.382 proj of the Jul 18 - Aug 4 - Aug 10 price swing

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