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PostNL (PNLA; NR/ BBB Neg) FINAL

CONSUMER CYCLICALS

€300M 7Y SLB +205 vs. FV +170 (revised from +130), cheap view added at guidance.

  • Another -10 in from guidance, books went from >€1.5b then to >€2.5b at final.
  • Final levels: -50bps basis to 7Y CDS, implied 2Y roll-down from 5/7s CDS is 25bps, implied 3Y roll-down to IDSLN28s (NR/BBB neg) is 65bps (pre. acquisition level used).
  • We have a keen eye on earnings including any wage agreements and progress in parliament on removing next-day delivery requirement. 2Q results come early August.

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