Free Trial

### POV: LITTLE TO STOP USD/CHF FROM...>

DOLLAR-SWISS
DOLLAR-SWISS: ### POV: LITTLE TO STOP USD/CHF FROM RETURNING TO PARITY
-Despite USD/CHF rising for 11 of the past 12 sessions, there is very little
resistance to prevent the pair rising to, and above, parity and October highs of
Chf 1.0038. Minor resistance may be found at the December 8 high of Chf 0.9978
but this is unlikely to prove pivotal given the pair's current momentum.
-With EUR/CHF stubbornly holding below 1.20, there's very little chance of the
SNB declaring 'mission accomplished', thereby opening the door for further
USD/CHF gains that are effectively endorsed by the Swiss central bank.
-Of the 10 most profitable USD/CHF trading strategies in the past 12 months
(number one being the RSI strategy), all measures continue to suggest remaining
in their current winning long trade.
-Given the run-up in the spot price, it's unsurprising to see risk reversals
rallying further and the shorter-dated end of the risk reversals curve now sits
close to its most bearish toward the CHF since August last year (although the
small size of the CHF options market could be exaggerating this position).

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.