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### POV: Market conditions suggest.............>

JGBS
JGBS: ### POV: Market conditions suggest continuance of buying in super-long
sector.
- Buying in the super-long end has already been spurred this week by talk that
the Ministry of Finance are considering reducing issuance in 30- and 40-Year
JGB's. This is said to be in response to widening differentials between coupon
rates and long-term rates, especially as the global flattening trend pushes the
Japanese yield curve away from the BoJ's desired slope.
- Other factors that support a bid include Y16.7tln of redemptions across the
maturity spectrum in December, especially with only Y800bln issued in December
(30-Year auction on Dec 7).
- Of these redemptions around Y1.2tln will go to life insurers. JPY hedged
treasury yields have declined recently which could induce lifers to avoid other
asset classes and stick with JGB's, MNI sources note that a 30-Year yield over
0.80% is seen as attractive.
- Also, November is anecdotally a large index extension month considering the
decline in JPY hedged treasury yields.

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