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###POV: SWEDISH CENTRAL BANK TO STICK TO...>

RIKSBANK
RIKSBANK: ###POV: SWEDISH CENTRAL BANK TO STICK TO REVISED RATE PATH
-Analysts are unanimous in believing the Riksbank will keep rates unchanged at
-0.5%.
-Cooling housing market, contained inflation, slipping consumer confidence and
ECB policy all stand in the way of the central bank acting this soon.
Furthermore, the proximity to September's too-close-to-call elections could be a
near-term hurdle. FX unlikely to be an issue with EUR/SEK just 2% from
multi-year highs
HAWKISH: After shifting their rate path just three months ago, markets don't
expect a reversal this soon and any hint that they could bring forward their
rate hike path will likely be met with SEK strength.
NEUTRAL: A reiteration of their April guidance revision, repeating that
tightening is to begin toward the end of 2018.
DOVISH: Highlighting material risks to the outlook from trade protectionism,
lacklustre wage growth or September general elections could dent expected rate
path and see EUR/SEK make another attempt on multi-year highs.

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