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### - POV - Touched resistance at.......>

EURO-DOLLAR
MNI (London)
EURO-DOLLAR: ### - POV - Touched resistance at $1.1880 in early European trade,
as rate extended its recent recovery off its Oct6 low of $1.1670(initial
reaction low to release of strong US AHE). This current recovery seen Usd led as
the US unit loses ground across the board, FOMC Minutes Wednesday, making the
December rate hike likely but came with some dovish undertones, some concern
registered that recent low inflation may not only reflect transitory factors but
also the influence of developments that could prove more persistent. Therefore,
Friday's release of US CPI has gained importance for Fed rate path. Market seen
looking for a boost in the headline to 0.6%mm, from 0.4% in Aug, core unchanged
at 0.2%mm but yy to increase to 1.8%. For further topside gains hurdles seen
placed between $1.1880/90 ahead of stronger area between $1.0910/15(Aug2
high/Trend resistance off the Sep8 high of $1.2092). Moves toward $1.2000 cannot
be written off but market aware the seeming reluctance from ECB officials for
rate to reach at or above $1.2000, with often well timed Eur negative source
stories hitting wires and providing a counter. A strong CPI release could have
the potential to take rate back to $1.1700/1.1670. 
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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